O Comércio inexplorado entre Brasil e Ásia: uma abordagem através do modelo gravitacional

  • Sílvia Letícia Bampi Faculdade João Paulo II, Universidade de Passo Fundo (UPF), Brasil
  • André Filipe Zago de Azevedo Universidade do Vale do Rio dos Sinos (Unisinos), Brasil
  • Magnus dos Reis Universidade do Vale do Rio dos Sinos (Unisinos), Brasil
Palabras clave: Comércio internacional, Modelo gravitacional, Asia, Brasil

Resumen

O presente estudo buscou estimar o comércio potencial do Brasil com o continente asiático no período de 2000 a 2014, utilizando uma amostra de 75 países. Para evitar problemas observados em estudos prévios, estimou-se a equação gravitacional por meio do estimador de Pseudo Máxima Verossimilhança de Poisson (PPML, na sigla inglesa), calculando-se o intervalo de confi ança dos coefi cientes com o método Delta. O modelo baseou-se em dados em painel com dois conjuntos de efeitos fi xos. Em termos absolutos, haveria um potencial de expansão do comércio brasileiro com os países asiáticos selecionados de US$ 5645 milhões, o equivalente a 7.6% do comércio médio anual observado no período 2000-2014.

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Publicado
2020-08-24
Cómo citar
Bampi, S., Zago de Azevedo, A., & dos Reis, M. (2020). O Comércio inexplorado entre Brasil e Ásia: uma abordagem através do modelo gravitacional. Estudios Económicos, 37(75), 51-73. Recuperado a partir de https://ojs.uns.edu.ar/ee/article/view/1391
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Artículos