El efecto asimétrico del ciclo económico sobre las condiciones sociales argentinas en el período 2003 - 2015

Guido Zack

doi:10.52292/j.estudecon.2016.718

Autores

Guido Zack Instituto Interdisciplinario de Economía Política de Buenos Aires - Universidad de Buenos Aires – CONICET, Argentina

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.52292/j.estudecon.2016.718

Palavras-chave:

Pobreza, Crecimiento, Distribución del Ingreso, Ciclo Económico, Argentina, Condiciones de vida

Resumo

Luego de la crisis de 2002, la Argentina inició un proceso de fuerte recuperación de sus condiciones sociales, que se desaceleró a partir de 2007 y se ha estancado desde 2012 en valores algo mejores en relación a la década de 1990, pero peores si la comparación se hace con décadas previas. A pesar del elevado crecimiento experimentado hasta 2011, la distribución del ingreso fue el principal causante de la mejora en la pobreza e indigencia. El presente artículo indaga acerca del riesgo de revertir en los próximos años parte de la recuperación conseguida. Este riesgo se sustenta en el posible efecto asimétrico del ciclo económico sobre las condiciones sociales, analizado a partir de las estimaciones de las elasticidades ingreso y distribución de la pobreza y la indigencia durante el período 2003 - 2015.

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