O Brasil e a integracao com as Americas: comercio sul-sul e sul-norte

Mauricio Delago Morais; Angélica Massuquetti; André Filipe Zago de Azevedo

doi:10.52292/j.estudecon.2018.1096

Authors

Mauricio Delago Morais Universidade do Vale do Rio dos Sinos
Angélica Massuquetti Universidade do Vale do Rio dos Sinos
André Filipe Zago de Azevedo Universidade do Vale do Rio dos Sinos

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.52292/j.estudecon.2018.1096

Keywords:

economic integration, UNASUL, computable general equilibrium model

Abstract

The study analyses the effects on trade and welfare of the formation of a free trade area in South America (UNASUL) and between Brazil and North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) using a computable general equilibrium model. The results show that despite UNASUL would generate gains for the countries that participate in this agreement, in terms of increased trade on high technology sectors and welfare, they are limited. The more significant gains for Brazil occur with the South-North trade liberalization.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Amsden, A. (1987). The directionality of trade: historical perspective and over-view. En Havrylyshyn, O. (Ed.). How direction affects performance (pp. 123-138). Washington DC: World Bank.

Azevedo, A. F. Z. (2008). Mercosul: o impacto da liberalização preferencial e as perspectivas para a união aduaneira. Pesquisa e Planejamento Econômico, 38 (1), 167-196.

Bueno, E. U. (2013). A entrada da Venezuela no Mercosul: uma análise de equilí-brio geral computável sobre os impactos setoriais no Brasil. Dissertação (Mestrado em Economia), Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Economia, Porto Alegre, RS.

Carneiro, F. I., & Oliveira, I. T. M. (orgs.) (2014). Os BRICS e seus vizinhos. Brasília: IPEA.

Cepal. Comissão Econômica para a América Latina e o Caribe. (2014). Un espacio de cooperación e interaciono para el desarrollo. Santiago de Chile: Naciones Unidas.

Chudnovsky, D. (1989). South-South trade in capital goods: the experiences of Argentina and Brazil. En V. Ventura-Dias. (ed.). South-South trade: trends, issues, and obstacles to its growth (pp. 216-248). New York: Praeger.

Dahi, O., & Demir, F. (2008). South-South trade in manufactures: current perfor-mance and obstacles for growth. Review of Radical Political Economics, 40 (3), 266-275. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/0486613408320007

Diao, X., & Díaz-Bonilla, E. & Sherman, R. (2002). Scenarious for trade inte-gration in the Americas. Washington International Food Policy Research Institute, Discussion Paper 90.

Domingues, E., Haddad, E., & Hewings, G. (2008). Sensitivity analysis in applied general equilibrium models: an empirical assessment for MERCOSUR free trade areas agreements. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 48 (2), 287-306. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2006.12.018

Frischtak, C., & Belluzzo L. G. (2014). Produção de commodities e desenvolvi-mento econômico: uma introdução. En Belluzzo L. G., Frischtak, C., & Laplane, M. (orgs.). Produção de commodities e desenvolvimento econô-mico (pp. 9-20). Campinas: UNICAMP.

Greenaway, D., & Milner C. (1990). South-South trade: theory, evidence, and policy. World Bank Research Observer, 5 (1), 47-68. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/wbro/5.1.47

Gurgel, A. C., & Bitencourt, M. B., & Teixeira, E. C. (2002). Impactos dos acor-dos de liberalização comercial Alca e Mercoeuro sobre os países membros.Revista Brasileira de Economia, 56 (2), 335-369. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1590/S0034-71402002000200006

Harrison, G., Rutherford, T., & Tarr, D. (1997). Quantifying the Uruguay Round. The Economic Journal, 107 (444), 1405-1430. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0297.1997.tb00055.x

Havrylyshyn, O. (1985). The direction of developing country trade: empirical evi-dence of differences between South-South and South-North trade. Journal of Development Economics, 19 (3), 255. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3878(85)90031-8

Hertel, T., & Martin, W. (1999). Would developing countries gain from inclusion of manufactures in the WTO negotiations? GTAP Working Papers No. 7.Laird, S. (1997). Mercosur: objectives and achievements. World Trade Organiza-tion, WTO Staff Working Paper, TPRD-97-002.

Lall, S. (1987). India’s economic relations with the South. En O. Havrylyshyn (Ed.). How direction affects performance (pp. 109-120). Washington DC: World Bank.

Lewis, W. A. (1980). The slowing down of the engine of growth. American Eco-nomic Review, 70 (3), 555-564.

Linder, S. B. (1961). An essay on trade and transformation. New York: Jon Wiley and Sons.

Messerlin, P. A. (2013). The Mercosur-EU preferential trade agreement. A view from Europe. CEPS Working Document, No. 377.

Monte, E. Z., & Teixeira, E. C. (2007). Impactos da Área de Livre Comércio das Américas (Alca), com gradual desgravação tarifária, na economia brasilei-ra. Nova Economia, 17 (1), 37-63. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1590/S0103-63512007000100002

Myrdal, G. (1956). An international economy. London: Routledge and Kegan Paul.

Nakahodo, S., & Jank, M. (2006). A falácia da doença holandesa. São Paulo:In-stituto de Estudos do Comércio e Negociações Internacionais.

Negri, J. A. (2012). As Empresas Brasileiras e o Comércio Internacional. IPEA: Brasília.Oliveira, A. R. (2014). Regionalismo e Multilateralismo: uma análise empírica da Aliança do Pacifico. (Mestrado em Economia). Universidade do Vale dos Sinos, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Economia, São Leopoldo, RS.

Prebisch, R. (1950). The economic development of Latin America and its princi-pal problems. New York: United Nations.

Preusse, H. (2001). Mercosur – another failed move towards regional integration? World Economy, 24 (7), 911-931. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9701.00389

Thorstensen, V., & Ferraz, L. (2014). O isolamento do Brasil em relação aos acordos e mega-acordos comerciais. Boletim de Economia e Política Interna-cional, 16 (1), 6-17.

UNCTAD. (2005). United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. Some key issues in South-South trade and economic cooperation. New York: UN.

UNCTAD. (2013). United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. South-South Trade Monitor. New York: UN.

UNCTAD. (2016). UNCTADstat – Data Center. Recuperado de http://unctadstat.unctad.org/wds/ReportFolders/reportFolders.aspx?sCS_ChosenLang=en.

Venables, T. (2003). Winners and losers from regional integration agreements.Economic Journal, 113 (490), 747-761. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0297.t01-1-00155

Zeitsch, J., McDougall, R., Jomini P., Welsh, A., Hambley, J., Brown, S., & Kelly, J. (1991). Salter: a general equilibrium model of the world economy. Sec-toral Analysis of Liberalising Trade in the East Asian Region, Working Paper No. 4